Standings
| Pl | W | D | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Chelsea W | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 39:12 | 37 |
| 2 | Manchester Utd W | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 38:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Manchester City W | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Arsenal W | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:8 | 32 |
| 5 | Aston Villa W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:25 | 26 |
| 6 | Everton W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 7 | West Ham W | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 17:26 | 16 |
| 8 | Liverpool W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | 15 |
| 9 | Tottenham W | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 10 | Reading W | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16:34 | 10 |
| 11 | Brighton W | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16:44 | 8 |
| 12 | Leicester W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7:33 | 7 |
Outrights
1. Chelsea W: 1.3 (63.93 %)2. Manchester United W: 6 (13.85 %)3. Manchester City W: 7 (11.87 %)4. Arsenal W: 8.1 (10.26 %)5. Aston Villa W: 1001 (0.08 %)
Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | qualify for ucl | win league |
| Chelsea | 1 (69.06%) | 54 | 37 | 0% | 97% | 69% |
| Manchester United | 2 (39.01%) | 49 | 35 | 0% | 82% | 15% |
| Arsenal | 3 (33.03%) | 48 | 32 | 0% | 68% | 11% |
| Manchester City | 4 (46.52%) | 47 | 35 | 0% | 53% | 5% |
| Aston Villa | 5 (78.69%) | 35 | 26 | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Everton | 6 (66.37%) | 30 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Liverpool | 8 (30.56%) | 23 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| West Ham United | 7 (36.67%) | 23 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 9 (27.53%) | 20 | 12 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Reading | 10 (31.83%) | 18 | 10 | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 11 (33.27%) | 17 | 8 | 22% | <1% | 0% |
| Leicester City | 12 (65.64%) | 13 | 7 | 66% | 0% | 0% |
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