Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

teampositionproject pointsnowrelegatedqualify for uclwin league
Porto1 (100%)91910%100%100%
Sporting Lisbon2 (100%)85850%100%0%
Benfica3 (100%)74740%100%0%
Braga4 (100%)65650%0%0%
Gil Vicente5 (100%)51510%0%0%
Vitoria Guimarães6 (100%)48480%0%0%
Santa Clara Broncos7 (100%)40400%0%0%
Famalicão8 (100%)39390%0%0%
Estoril Praia9 (100%)39390%0%0%
Marítimo10 (100%)38380%0%0%
Boavista12 (100%)38380%0%0%
Portimonense13 (100%)38380%0%0%
Paços de Ferreira11 (100%)38380%0%0%
Vizela14 (100%)33330%0%0%
Arouca15 (100%)31310%0%0%
Moreirense16 (100%)292950%0%0%
Tondela17 (100%)2828100%0%0%
Belenenses18 (100%)2626100%0%0%
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