Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

teampositionproject pointsnowrelegatedqualify for uclwin league
Ajax1 (100%)83830%100%100%
PSV Eindhoven2 (100%)81810%100%0%
Feyenoord3 (100%)71710%0%0%
Twente4 (100%)68680%0%0%
AZ Alkmaar5 (100%)61610%0%0%
Vitesse6 (100%)51510%0%0%
Utrecht7 (100%)47470%0%0%
Heerenveen8 (100%)41410%0%0%
Cambuur9 (100%)39390%0%0%
Waalwijk10 (100%)38380%0%0%
NEC Nijmegen11 (100%)38380%0%0%
Go Ahead Eagles13 (100%)36360%0%0%
Groningen12 (100%)36360%0%0%
Sparta Rotterdam14 (100%)35350%0%0%
Fortuna Sittard15 (100%)35350%0%0%
Heracles Almelo16 (100%)3434>99%0%0%
Willem II17 (100%)3333100%0%0%
Zwolle18 (100%)2727100%0%0%
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