Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | qualify for ucl | win league |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1 (100%) | 80 | 80 | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| Sturm Graz | 2 (100%) | 56 | 56 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Wolfsberger | 3 (100%) | 47 | 47 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Austria Wien | 4 (100%) | 46 | 46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rapid Wien | 5 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Swarovski Tirol | 7 (100%) | 40 | 40 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| LASK Linz | 8 (100%) | 39 | 39 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ried | 9 (100%) | 37 | 37 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Austria Klagenfurt | 6 (100%) | 36 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Hartberg | 10 (100%) | 33 | 33 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Admira | 11 (100%) | 31 | 31 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rheindorf Altach | 12 (100%) | 29 | 29 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
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